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Could Crypto Decide the 2024 Election?

According to John Anzalone, President Biden’s former pollster, cryptocurrency holders could play a decisive role in the upcoming 2024 presidential election. Speaking at a Stand with Crypto press event, Anzalone emphasized the growing influence of crypto enthusiasts in shaping the electoral outcome. With the potential to sway tightly contested states, this voter bloc has become a critical target for candidates from both parties.

Anzalone, founder of Impact Research and a seasoned political strategist, highlighted the significance of the crypto community. He urged candidates across the political spectrum to engage with this emerging group, regardless of their affiliation. “This is a group that is gaining strength, power, and a voice,” Anzalone stated, pointing to the increasingly influential position that crypto voters now hold.

Anzalone’s insight is rooted in experience, having advised high-profile Democrats such as Biden, Obama, and Hillary Clinton. His involvement in the cryptocurrency space also extends to his role on Coinbase’s (COIN) global advisory council, signaling that political consultants are recognizing the need to address the interests of crypto advocates as the 2024 race heats up.

Stand with Crypto Grows as a Force in Politics

Celebrating its first anniversary, Stand with Crypto, a nonprofit advocacy group, has rapidly gained traction. According to Logan Dobson, the organization’s executive director, the group now boasts 1.3 million members. The membership process is simple, requiring just an email or linking a crypto wallet. Dobson highlighted Stand with Crypto’s role in influencing key legislation, including the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT-21).

FIT-21, a bill advocating for a tailored regulatory framework for digital assets, received notable bipartisan support in the House, showcasing the growing political clout of the crypto community. Although the bill awaits Senate consideration, Dobson underscored the community’s impact, noting that over 200,000 emails and calls were directed to Congress in support of the legislation. In just two weeks leading up to the vote, the organization added 400,000 new members—underscoring the urgency and passion within the crypto electorate.

Despite their influence, Stand with Crypto remains nonpartisan. The organization does not endorse specific candidates but provides ratings based on candidates’ actions and rhetoric regarding digital assets. Interestingly, former President Donald Trump received an A rating, reflecting his recent pro-crypto stance, which contrasts with some of his administration’s more aggressive regulatory actions, such as the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple. Meanwhile, Vice President Kamala Harris has not been graded due to her lack of statements on digital assets.

Crypto Voters as a Swing Force in Critical States

The political significance of crypto voters has been gaining momentum as the 2024 election approaches. Dobson pointed to recent polling that suggests crypto enthusiasts could tip the balance in key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin. With 52 million Americans reportedly owning crypto, the demographic is becoming too large for politicians to ignore. Around 4 million of these owners reside in critical swing states, positioning them as potentially decisive voters.

However, the extent of their political sway remains debated. The Federal Reserve’s recent survey indicates that only 18 million Americans used or owned crypto in 2023, a sharp decline from 28 million in 2021. This discrepancy raises questions about the actual electoral power of crypto holders. Some skeptics within the community argue that while crypto policy might be important, it is unlikely to drive mass voter behavior. Digital asset attorney Stephen Palley expressed doubt, dismissing the notion of a “crypto vote” and suggesting that most voters are unlikely to prioritize digital assets in the voting booth.

Takeaways for Traders and Investors

For investors and traders, the political recognition of the crypto community is a signal of its growing maturity and mainstream relevance. As the 2024 election draws near, regulatory uncertainty continues to hang over the industry, with debates over legislation like FIT-21 serving as bellwethers for the sector’s future. The increased mobilization of crypto voters is a key development, as candidates may begin adjusting their platforms to capture this swing group, potentially leading to more favorable policies for the digital asset space.

However, there are still open questions. Will the Senate take up legislation like FIT-21, or will regulatory uncertainty persist? How will the regulatory landscape evolve under a future administration, whether Republican or Democrat? And crucially, how significant will the crypto voter bloc be when it comes time to cast ballots?

In the meantime, traders should keep a close eye on political developments and rhetoric, especially as campaign platforms crystallize around key issues like crypto regulation. The outcome of the election could have substantial implications for the regulatory environment, market conditions, and long-term growth of the digital asset sector.

Conclusion

As the political landscape adjusts to the rise of crypto voters, the potential for this community to influence the 2024 election is growing. While the true electoral power of this group remains to be fully realized, it is clear that digital asset enthusiasts are emerging as a critical constituency. For traders and investors, this is a trend worth monitoring closely, as it could shape both market sentiment and regulatory policies in the years ahead.

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